Releases Saturday 29 January 2000
No 7230 Volume 320

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(1) SHOULD V.A.T. BE ADDED TO FATTY FOODS IN A
BID TO TACKLE HEART DISEASE?

(2) ADULT LIFESTYLE INFLUENCES RISK OF
CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE MORE THAN
CHILDHOOD FACTORS

(3) NO LINK BETWEEN ULTRASOUND AND RISK OF
CHILDHOOD LEUKAEMIA



(1) SHOULD V.A.T. BE ADDED TO FATTY FOODS IN A
BID TO TACKLE HEART DISEASE?

(Exploring a fiscal food policy: the case of diet and ischaemic
heart disease)
http://www.bmj.com/cgi/content/full/320/7230/301

Extending value added tax (VAT) to foodstuffs which are
high in saturated fat, could save between 900 and 1000
premature deaths a year in the UK, suggests Dr Tom
Marshall from the University of Birmingham in this week's
BMJ.

In his education and debate article Marshall considers the
impact that diet has on cholesterol concentrations in the UK
population (which in turn determines the prevalence of
ischaemic heart disease). He says that cholesterol
concentrations are largely down to the proportion of dietary
energy derived from saturated or polyunsaturated fats and by
dietary intake of cholesterol and that if this were reduced then
there would be a fall in the number of people suffering from
ischaemic heart disease.

Marshall identifies the main sources of saturated fat in the
British diet as whole (full fat) milk, cheese, butter, biscuits,
buns, cakes, pastries, puddings and icecream. He says that
currently, the pricing of foodstuffs encourages the purchase
and consumption of a cholesterol raising diet, particularly
among people who have a tight food budget. At the moment,
most foodstuffs are exempt from VAT, states the author.
However, if VAT were to be extended to the principal
sources of dietary saturated fat, while exempting cholesterol
neutral foods, he suggests that the public would purchase the
cheaper, lower fat alternatives. He believes that this would
have the greatest effect among lower income groups who
tend to be more price sensitive and are at greatest risk of
ischaemic heart disease from poor diet. [The author
extensively explains the concept of price elasticity in his
paper.]

The author says that the concept he proposes is similar to the
"polluter pays" principle of making leaded fuel more
expensive than unleaded. The additional tax revenue
generated through such an initiative could be used to finance
compensatory measures to raise the income of low income
groups, suggests Marshall as these groups will inevitably end
up paying more for their food bills under such a system (just
as by raising the duty on tobacco the group that bears the tax
burden is in the low income bracket). The overall effect on
government finances would therefore be neutral, he says.

The author concludes that if we are serious about improving
nutrition a fiscal food policy is "worth exploring".
"Interdisciplinary collaboration is needed between
econometricians and nutritionists to investigate - the effects of
price changes on the purchase of foodstuffs," he says.

In an accompanying commentary Dr Eileen Kennedy and Dr
Susan Offutt from the US Department of Agriculture write
that Marshall's concept is intriguing, but they raise doubts as
to how successful such an approach would be. Firstly, the
relation of diet and disease hinges on an individual's genetic
make-up which is not accounted for in Marshall's hypothesis.
Secondly, Kennedy and Offutt highlight recent research
suggesting that the substitution of lower fat foods (such as
skimmed milk for full fat milk) simply results in an
approximate doubling of the quantity of the lower fat
alternative consumed, in order that energy levels are
maintained in the diet.

Kennedy and Offutt also question Marshall's statement that
there is a sizeable difference in the diets of the rich and poor -
they say that in the United States at least, this is not true.
They also argue that price sensitivity to the main sources of
dietary fat is not as great as Marshall has suggested and
therefore an extension of value added tax would lead to
smaller decreases in quantities consumed.

The authors of the commentary conclude that a better
alternative to extending VAT would be to introduce
foodstuffs which help to reduce cholesterol but that do not
require a change in consumer dietary behaviour.

Contact:

Dr Tom Marshall, Honorary Clinical Lecturer, Department of
Public Health and Epidemiology, University of Birmingham,
Birmingham
Email: marshatp@hsrc1.bham.ac.uk

Dr Eileen Kennedy, Deputy Under Secretary, Office of
Research, Education and Economics, US Department of
Agriculture, Washington
Email: eileen.kennedy@usda.gov

(2) ADULT LIFESTYLE INFLUENCES RISK OF
CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE MORE THAN
CHILDHOOD FACTORS

(Risk of cardiovascular disease measured by carotid
intima-media thickness at age 49-51: lifecourse study)
http://www.bmj.com/cgi/content/full/320/7230/273

Contrary to many previous studies, early life factors, such as
birth weight and socioeconomic position in childhood, are not
important predictors of the risk of cardiovascular disease in
middle age, say researchers from the University of Newcastle
in this week's BMJ.. In fact adult lifestyles are more
important than early life experiences in determining the risk of
cardiovascular disease, say the authors.

Dr Douglas Lamont and colleagues studied 154 men and 193
women who were born in 1947 (at who had been part of the
Newcastle "Thousand Families" study established during that
year). The research team ascertained the risk of
cardiovascular disease in the study group between October
1996 and December 1998 (aged 49 - 51 years), by
measuring the thickness of the walls of their carotid arteries
[the thicker the artery wall the greater the risk of
cardiovascular disease].

Lamont et al then evaluated these measurements in the
context of early life experiences (socioeconomic
circumstances; adverse life events; illnesses; birth weight and
growth) and adult socioeconomic position and lifestyle
(number of cigarettes smoked; alcohol consumption; diet and
physical activity). They found that adult lifestyle and biological
risk markers measured in adulthood (such as obesity and high
blood pressure) had a greater effect on the thickness of the
carotid artery walls in middle age and therefore the risk of
cardiovascular disease, than early life experiences.

The authors conclude that even though it is clearly important
to promote good maternal and child health and to reduce
socioeconomic deprivation in childhood, to decrease the risk
of cardiovascular disease in middle age the main focus of
intervention should be on trying to alter adult lifestyles.

Contact:

Dr Douglas Lamont, Senior Research Associate in
Epidemiology, Department of Child Health, University of
Newcastle, Sir James Spence Institute of Child Health, Royal
Victoria Infirmary, Newcastle upon Tyne
Email: d.w.lamont@ncl.ac.uk

Or

Professor Alan Craft, Professor of Child Health, Department
of Child Health, University of Newcastle, Sir James Spence
Institute of Child Health, Royal Victoria Infirmary, Newcastle
upon Tyne
Email: a.w.craft@ncl.ac.uk

(3) NO LINK BETWEEN ULTRASOUND AND RISK OF
CHILDHOOD LEUKAEMIA

(Prenatal ultrasound examinations and risk of childhood
leukaemia: case-control study)
http://www.bmj.com/cgi/content/full/320/7230/282

Reassuring research conducted by a team in Sweden and
published in this week's BMJ finds no association between
prenatal exposure to ultrasound and childhood leukaemias.

Dr Estelle Naumburg and colleagues from Uppsala University
and the Karolinska Institute say that previously there have
been concerns over a possible association between exposure
to ultrasound in utero and an increased risk of childhood
malignancies. But they have not been substantiated, say the
authors and so they set out to establish whether there was
any evidence to suggest a link.

In their nationwide study Naumburg et al found similar rates
of leukaemia in children who had and in those who had not
been exposed ultrasound scanning. Based on their findings
they conclude that there is no evidence to suggest that single
or repeated exposure to ultrasound, early or late in
pregnancy, influences the risk of subsequent development of
childhood leukaemia.

Contact:

Dr Estelle Naumburg, Paediatrician, Department of
Women's Health, Section for Paediatrics, Uppsala
University, Sweden
Email: Estelle.Naumburg@pediatrik.uu.se


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