Releases Saturday 12 February 2000
No 7232 Volume 320

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(1)  FOOD HYGIENE AND DECLINE IN OROFECAL
INFECTIONS MAY UNDERLIE EPIDEMIC OF
ASTHMA AND RHINITIS IN DEVELOPED WORLD

(2)  RISK OF LUNG CANCER FROM PASSIVE
SMOKING MAY HAVE BEEN OVERSTATED


 

(1)  FOOD HYGIENE AND DECLINE IN OROFECAL
INFECTIONS MAY UNDERLIE EPIDEMIC OF
ASTHMA AND RHINITIS IN DEVELOPED WORLD

(Exposure to foodborne and orofecal microbes versus
airborne viruses in relation to atopy and allergic asthma:
epidemiological study)
http://www.bmj.com/cgi/content/full/320/7232/412

A decline in orofecal infections and a westernised, semisterile
diet may be the root of the epidemic of allergic asthma and
rhinitis [inflammation of the mucous membrane that lines the
nose] in developed countries, claim researchers from Italy in
this week's BMJ.

The theory that some infections in early childhood may
prevent atopy [a predisposition to allergic reactions] has been
hotly debated and the type of infections that may be involved
is still unknown. Dr Paolo Matricardi and colleagues in Rome
investigated how exposure to foodborne and orefecal
microbes (such as H pylori and the hepatitis A virus) as
opposed to airborne viruses (such as measles, mumps and
chickenpox) was associated with a reduced prevalence of
atopy and respiratory allergies.

Matricardi et al conducted the research of Italian Armed
Forces in collaboration with the Consiglio Nazionale delle
Ricerche and the Istituto Superiore di Sanit in Rome. They
studied 1659 airforce cadets, aged 17-24 years and
examined in depth 240 atopic and 240 non-atopic
individuals. A history of allergic rhinitis or asthma and
sensitivity to airborne allergens was detected. They found that
people who had been more exposed to microbes transmitted
orally were less likely to suffer from respiratory allergy.
However, the same association was not evident in those who
had been infected with airborne viruses.

The authors say that this is the first comparative study
showing that orofecal and/or foodborne microbes are better
candidates than airborne respiratory viruses as determinants
of an atopy "protective" effect. H pylori and Hepatitis A are
probably not directly involved in protection from atopy, say
Matricardi et al. Nevertheless, the inverse association of
atopy with this category of microbes seems to suggest that
there is a role played by the gut-associated lymphoid tissue,
where microbial stimulation is required to develop immune
responses against allergens, they say.

The authors caution that further studies are required to verify
their findings, however, it is not inconceivable that we may
soon use certain microbes to prevent atopy without causing
infectious disease. "We must improve hygiene to reduce the
impact of infectious diseases," Matricardi adds, "but at the
same time, we must learn how to safely 'train' our immune
system, especially during infancy, in order to prevent allergy."

Contact:

Dr Paolo Matricardi, Research Director, Laboratorio di
Immunologia ed Allegologia, Divisione Aerea Studi Ricerche
e Sperimentazioni, Rome
Email: matricardi.pm{at}mclink.it

(2)  RISK OF LUNG CANCER FROM PASSIVE
SMOKING MAY HAVE BEEN OVERSTATED

(Reanalysis of epidemiological evidence on lung cancer and
passive smoking)
http://www.bmj.com/cgi/content/full/320/7232/417

Previous studies examining the effect of passive smoking on
lung cancer, may have overstated the risk, say statisticians
from the University of Warwick in this week's BMJ.

Research analysing the findings of 37 trials in this field has
previously found that there is an increased risk of lung cancer
of nearly a quarter (24 per cent) in people exposed to
passive smoke. Professor John Copas and Dr Jian Qing Shi
argue that this research may have been skewed by
"publication bias" and that in reality the excess risk of lung
cancer in those exposed to passive smoke is in fact lower.

Publication bias occurs when studies that have positive
findings are more likely to be written up, submitted to a
journal and published than those that have negative results.
This means that when a review of all research in a certain field
(such as the effect of passive smoke on lung cancer) is
conducted, the reviewers are only able to analyse the studies
which are likely to have positive results. Smaller studies or
those that were never published because they had negative
findings are therefore not included in the analysis and so the
overall picture is skewed.

Copas and Shi say that this is what they believe to have
happened with previous attempts to ascertain the risk of lung
cancer from passive smoking. In a reanalysis of the 37 trials
and taking account of publication bias, they conclude that the
increased risk of lung cancer from passive smoking is more
likely to be around 15 per cent as opposed to 24 per cent.
They therefore suggest that previous levels of risk should be
interpreted with caution.

Contact:

Professor John Copas, Department of Statistics, University of
Warwick, Coventry
Email:  jbc{at}stats.warwick.ac.uk

Or

Dr Jian Qing Shi
Email:  shi{at}stats.warwick.ac.uk
   


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