Releases Saturday 1 December 2001
No 7324 Volume 323

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(1) THIN BABIES ARE VULNERABLE TO HEART
DISEASE IF THEY ARE POOR AS ADULTS

(2) EATING MORE OFTEN CAN REDUCE
CHOLESTEROL LEVELS

(3) FAT CHILDREN DO NOT NECESSARILY
BECOME FAT ADULTS

(4) IS NICE PROVIDING FASTER ACCESS TO
MODERN TREATMENTS?

(5) INFERTILITY CLINICS ARE BIASED AGAINST
PATIENTS WITH HIV

(6) ANOTHER NHS REORGANISATION "CAN
ONLY WORSEN THE SERVICE"



(1) THIN BABIES ARE VULNERABLE TO HEART
DISEASE IF THEY ARE POOR AS ADULTS

(Size at birth and resilience to effects of poor living
conditions in adult life: longitudinal study)
http://bmj.com/cgi/content/full/323/7324/1273

(Editorial: Aetiology of coronary heart disease)
http://bmj.com/cgi/content/full/323/7324/1261

Men who are thin at birth and have poor living
standards in adult life are at highest risk of coronary
heart disease, finds a study in this week's BMJ.

Professor David Barker, and colleagues in Finland,
followed a large group of men born in a Helsinki
hospital during 1934-44. As expected, they found that
men who had low social class or low household income
had higher rates of coronary heart disease. These
effects, however, were confined to men who were thin
at birth, but then rapidly gained weight during
childhood. Men who were not thin at birth could
withstand the later effects of poor living standards.

Improvements in fetal, infant, and child growth may
prevent coronary heart disease in the next generation by
improving the body's fitness and making it resilient to
later social adversity, conclude the authors.

The most interesting finding of this paper is the
interaction between childhood and adult conditions,
writes Professor Michael Marmot in an accompanying
editorial. In showing the importance of early life
conditions, adult conditions, and their interaction, this
paper reinforces the call to look at the influence of
conditions throughout life in determining social
inequalities in disease in adulthood, he concludes.

Contacts:

Paper: David Barker, Director, Medical Research
Council Environmental Epidemiology Unit, University of
Southampton, UK
Email: djpb@mrc.soton.ac.uk

or

Johan Eriksson, National Public Health Institute,
Helsinki, Finland
Email: johan.eriksson@ktl.fi

Editorial: Michael Marmot, Professor, International
Centre for Health and Society, Department of
Epidemiology and Public Health, University College
London, UK
Email: m.marmot@ucl.ac.uk

(2) EATING MORE OFTEN CAN REDUCE
CHOLESTEROL LEVELS

(Frequency of eating and concentrations of serum
cholesterol in the Norfolk population of the European
prospective investigation into cancer (EPIC-Norfolk):
cross sectional study)
http://bmj.com/cgi/content/full/323/7324/1286

Eating frequently is associated with lower blood
cholesterol concentrations, finds a study in this week's
BMJ, suggesting that we need to consider not just what
we eat but how often we eat.

Over 14,000 men and women aged 45-75 years were
asked "How many times a day do you eat including
meals, snacks, biscuits with coffee breaks etc?"
Participants were then classified into five categories of
eating frequency and concentrations of blood fats
(lipids) were measured.

Cholesterol concentrations were approximately 5%
lower in men and women who ate six or more times a
day compared with those who ate once or twice a day,
despite higher intakes of energy, including fat, in people
who reported eating more frequently. This association
was still present after accounting for body mass index,
physical activity, cigarette smoking, and dietary intake.

Although not large, this difference in cholesterol
concentration is comparable to that achieved in studies
involving alteration of intake of dietary fat or
cholesterol. It is also associated with reductions in
coronary heart disease ranging from 10% to 21%, say
the authors.

If applied population-wide, such reductions might have
a substantial impact, particularly in older people, who
have higher rates of heart disease, they conclude.

Contact:

Kay-Tee Khaw, Professor of Clinical Gerontology,
Institute of Public Health, University of Cambridge, UK
Email: kk101@medschl.cam.ac.uk

(3) FAT CHILDREN DO NOT NECESSARILY
BECOME FAT ADULTS

(Implications of childhood obesity for adult health:
findings from thousand families cohort study)
http://bmj.com/cgi/content/full/323/7324/1280

Most fat adults are not overweight as children,
concludes a study in this week's BMJ, casting doubt on
the widespread popular belief that fat children become
fat adults.

Researchers at the University of Newcastle upon Tyne
used detailed information collected on 412 people from
birth until the age of 50 to establish whether being
overweight in childhood increases adult obesity and risk
of disease.

They found that, although overweight teenagers were
more likely to become fat adults, most fat adults were
not overweight as children and those thin in childhood
were not protected from obesity as adults. In fact, those
thinnest in childhood who went on to be fat adults
experienced the most adverse consequences.

Current concerns about rising rates of overweight in
children hinge on the assumption that fat children are
more likely to become fat adults. "Our data suggest a
much less deterministic situation," say the authors. As
such, large-scale measures to reduce body mass index
in childhood may not benefit adult health, they conclude.

Contact:

Charlotte Wright, Senior Lecturer in Community Child
Health, Yorkhill Hospitals Glasgow, Scotland
Email: charlotte.wright@clinmed.gla.ac.uk

(from Fri 30 Nov):
Email: C.M.Wright@Newcastle.ac.uk

(4) IS NICE PROVIDING FASTER ACCESS TO
MODERN TREATMENTS?

(NICE: faster access to modern treatments? Analysis of
guidance on health technologies)
http://bmj.com/cgi/content/full/323/7324/1300

Despite the hostile publicity it receives when it tries to
deny new drugs, the National Institute for Clinical
Excellence (NICE) approves many more treatments
than it bans, at a net cost to the NHS of around £200m,
according to James Raftery, Professor of Health
Economics, in this week's BMJ.

He reviewed NICE's published guidance on health
technologies up to March 2001 against three set
criteria: clinical benefits, cost per quality adjusted life
year (QALY), and impact of cost on NHS.

Of the 22 technologies on which NICE had issued
guidance by March 2001, three were not
recommended (with a change of judgement on the new
flu drug, zanamivir). The guidance recommending use of
the other 19 technologies all cited evidence of clinical
benefits, while only around half cited cost per QALY.
This suggests that economics had a lesser role than
evidence of clinical benefits, says the author.

Many of its recommendations specified conditions for
use, such as subgroups of patients most likely to benefit,
which have generally helped keep the cost per QALY
below £30,000, adds the author. For example, the
provisional recommendation against the use of beta
interferons and glatiramer for multiple sclerosis cited
their high cost per QALY (£40,000 to £90,000).

The combined net cost of these 22 judgements was
£200m-£214m or around 0.5% of annual NHS
spending in England and Wales.

Overall, however, NICE's guidance recommending use
of most technologies appraised will arguably lead to
"faster and more uniform access" to these technologies
rather than to denial access, he concludes.

Contact:

James Raftery, Professor of Health Economics, School
of Public Policy, University of Birmingham, UK
Email: J.P.Raftery@bham.ac.uk

(5) INFERTILITY CLINICS ARE BIASED AGAINST
PATIENTS WITH HIV

(Access to infertility investigations and treatment in
couples infected with HIV: questionnaire study)
http://bmj.com/cgi/content/full/323/7324/1285

Infertility clinics are biased against patients infected with
HIV, finds a study in this week's BMJ.

All 75 clinics providing assisted conception in Britain
were surveyed regarding their policy on treating patients
infected with HIV. Of 57 responses, 41 units (72%)
had a policy on treating patients infected with HIV,
although most (61%) of these had not seen a patient
infected with HIV in the previous year.

Units that had seen patients infected with HIV in the
past year were more likely than units that had not to
investigate or to offer treatment when the man was
infected with HIV. The same trend was not seen when
the woman or both partners were infected with HIV.

The Human Fertilisation and Embryology Act 1990
requires the welfare of the child to be taken into
account before treatment starts, but it does not exclude
any category of woman from being considered for
infertility treatment. A blanket refusal to provide
infertility investigations and treatment to couples infected
with HIV may lead to an increase of uninfected partners
becoming HIV positive while trying to conceive
naturally.

Not all patients infected with HIV will be suitable for
infertility treatment, but whether couples are offered
assisted conception in Britain is a lottery, as there are
no established guidelines, say the authors. Centres
offering assisted conception should have a less
restrictive attitude towards patients infected with HIV,
they conclude.

Contact:

Ade Apoola, Specialist Registrar, Whittall Street Clinic,
Birmingham, UK
Email: apoola@yahoo.com

(6) ANOTHER NHS REORGANISATION "CAN
ONLY WORSEN THE SERVICE"

(Editorial: The "redisorganisation" of the NHS)
http://bmj.com/cgi/content/full/323/7324/1262

The government's latest NHS reorganisation - the
largest, and least debated, reorganisation of the NHS
for two decades - can only worsen the service, argue
researchers in this week's BMJ.

Ministers talk of the language of empowerment,
devolution, collaboration, and support, but they display
an unforgiving, top down command and control style of
management in which unrealistic targets and objectives
are showered down on managers, who are left feeling
undermined and undervalued, they write.

If managers are to lead the radical changes to services
demanded by the NHS plan, they need time and space
in which to acquire new skills such as developing and
implementing care pathways and changing the nature of
professional work. Instead they struggle in a macho
climate that demands instant delivery.

What is required is a fundamental rethinking of the
relationship between central government and the NHS,
say the authors. The answer could lie in a move to
regional government, with the NHS being transferred to
the control of bodies like the Spanish regions or the
Swedish county councils.

The price to be paid may be greater local variation and
diversity, but given that this already exists between the
four countries within the United Kingdom, surely this is
a price worth paying, they conclude.

Contacts:

Judith Smith, Senior Lecturer, Health Services
Management Centre, University of Birmingham, UK
Email: j.a.smith.20@bham.ac.uk

Dr Kieran Walshe, Senior Research Fellow, Health
Services Management Centre, University of
Birmingham, UK
Email: k.m.j.walshe@bham.ac.uk

Professor David Hunter, Professor of Health Policy and
Management, University of Durham, UK
Email: d.j.hunter@durham.ac.uk


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