Releases Saturday 1 February 2003
No 7383 Volume 326

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(1) SIZE AT BIRTH LINKED WITH RISK OF BREAST
CANCER IN WOMEN UNDER 50

(2) PATIENT EXPECTATIONS OF CARE MAY
EXCEED GOVERNMENT TARGETS

(3) MONITORING DEATHS IN GENERAL PRACTICE
WOULD HELP MAINTAIN PUBLIC TRUST

(4) ASSISTED SUICIDE BY NON-PHYSICIANS

(5) LEGAL JUDGEMENT HAS GRAVE
IMPLICATIONS FOR THE NHS >


(1) SIZE AT BIRTH LINKED WITH RISK OF BREAST
CANCER IN WOMEN UNDER 50

(Fetal growth and subsequent risk of breast cancer:
results from long term follow up of Swedish cohort)
http://bmj.com/cgi/content/full/326/7383/248

A study in the BMJ this week finds an association
between size at birth and risk of pre-menopausal breast
cancer.

Over 5,000 women born in Sweden during 1915-29
were included in the study, of which 63 had breast
cancer before the age of 50. There were strong positive
associations between measures of birth size and rates of
breast cancer at pre-menopausal ages, even when other
adult risk factors were taken into account. Birth length
and head circumference had stronger associations with
pre-menopausal breast cancer than birth weight.

In addition, a shorter period of pregnancy was
independently associated with an increased risk of breast
cancer before the age of 50, indicating that "the rate of
fetal growth may underlie the association between birth
size and risk of early breast cancer" suggest the authors.

There was no evidence of an association between birth
size and breast cancer in post-menopausal women, of
which 296 had breast cancer.

However, the authors explain that in public health terms,
if the findings were real, large birth size would be
responsible for only a small proportion of the total
number of cases of breast cancer in any population, as
the incidence at premenopausal ages is low. Moreover,
this association should be considered in light of its
opposite association with heart disease, a much more
common condition, they conclude.

Contact:

Valerie McCormack, Research Fellow, Department of
Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of
Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
Email: valerie.mccormack@lshtm.ac.uk

(2) PATIENT EXPECTATIONS OF CARE MAY
EXCEED GOVERNMENT TARGETS

(Setting standards based on patients' views on access
and continuity: secondary analysis of data from the
general practice assessment survey)
http://bmj.com/cgi/content/full/326/7383/258

Patients may have expectations for access to primary
care in excess of current government targets, finds a
study in this week's BMJ. Patients also have high
expectations of continuity of care.

Researchers analysed data from general practice
research studies and routine quality assessment activities
undertaken by practices and primary care trusts. The
analysis involved 21,905 patients.

Satisfactory standards of access were next day
appointments with general practitioners and a 6-10
minute wait for consultations to begin. A satisfactory
level of continuity was seeing the same general
practitioner "a lot of the time."

Standards varied with the analytical methods used and
by sociodemographic group. Patients from ethnic
minorities generally had higher standards whereas older
patients (aged 46 to 60 years or more) had lower
standards.

Patients have high expectations relating to access of
care, which may support or exceed current government
targets, including the standard for waiting times by 2004
of seeing a general practitioner within 48 hours, say the
authors.

However, it is unclear the degree to which such
standards are reliable or valid, how conflicts between
access and continuity should be resolved, or how these
standards relate to other priorities of patients, they
conclude.

Contact:

Alison Hollinshead, Communications Officer or Laura
Blake, Director of Communications, University of
Manchester, UK
Email: alison.hollinshead@man.ac.uk

(3) MONITORING DEATHS IN GENERAL PRACTICE
WOULD HELP MAINTAIN PUBLIC TRUST

(Monitoring mortality rates in general practice after
Shipman)
http://bmj.com/cgi/content/full/326/7383/274

Harold Shipman's murderous career led to demands that
steps be taken to prevent any recurrence, but devising an
acceptable and workable method of monitoring death
rates in individual general practices is not
straightforward. In this week's BMJ, researchers discuss
the key issues in designing such a monitoring system.

Except for a few local schemes, monitoring systems are
not yet established, report the authors. They suggest that
procedures for investigating abnormal patterns need to
be agreed, and that a monitoring system could detect
high death rates by using valid comparative data.

Monitoring should also be practical, and not be unduly
complex or costly to administer. A monitoring system
must be:

Sensitive

Specific

Provide meaningful data for both general practitioners
and public health Physicians

Require a minimum of expertise and resources to
maintain

Be acceptable to practitioners and patients

They admit that there will still be limitations. For instance,
monitoring subgroups of GPs, such as locums, assistants
and those caring for people in hospices would be
difficult, and in practices where individual patients are
treated by more than one doctor, analysis would have to
be by practice rather than by doctor.

"Monitoring mortality rates among general practitioners'
patients would help maintain public trust," they say.
"Better information about mortality rates in general
practice could also facilitate the planning and monitoring
of clinical policies to gradually reduce mortality."

Contact:

Professor Richard Baker, Department of General
Practice and Primary Care, University of Leicester,
Leicester General Hospital, Leicester, UK
Email: rb14@le.ac.uk

(4) ASSISTED SUICIDE BY NON-PHYSICIANS

(Assisted suicide and euthanasia in Switzerland: allowing
a role for non-physicians)
http://bmj.com/cgi/content/full/326/7383/271

Sharp controversy surrounds assisted suicide in
Switzerland, say researchers in this week's BMJ.

Swiss law does not prohibit assisting suicide as long as
the motive is altruistic. Also, it does not give physicians a
special status in assisting suicide. This means that
whether assisted voluntary death should ever be allowed
has been discussed without exclusive reference to
physicians. Physicians have separately debated their role
at the end of life.

The few existing data do suggest public support for
assisted suicide. In a 1999 survey of the Swiss public,
four fifths agreed that "a person suffering from an
incurable disease and who is in intolerable physical and
psychological suffering has the right to ask for death and
to obtain help for this purpose." Legislation to allow
euthanasia was favoured by 71%.

However, resources for palliative care in Switzerland are
not yet available to all terminally ill patients. This remains
a strong argument against decriminalising euthanasia.

Despite acceptance of assisted suicide, support for
palliative care is growing, as end of life issues are kept in
the public eye, say the authors. Further research on
public attitudes and on practices at the end of life in this
unique situation is important, they conclude.

Contact:

Samia Hurst, Post-doctoral Fellow, Department of
Clinical Bioethics, National Institutes of Health,
Bethesda, USA
Email: shurst@cc.nih.gov

(5) LEGAL JUDGEMENT HAS GRAVE
IMPLICATIONS FOR THE NHS

(The BetterCare judgement±a challenge to health care)
http://bmj.com/cgi/content/full/326/7383/236

A landmark decision by the United Kingdom's
Competition Commission could make all contracting out
and commissioning of health care by NHS and social
services subject to European Union competition law,
rather than a matter for national public health policy.

This may leave the NHS vulnerable to legal challenge
from international healthcare corporations, argue
researchers in this week's BMJ.

In November 2000, the BetterCare Group (a private
company selling nursing and residential care in Northern
Ireland) used the United Kingdoms' competition law to
challenge the contract price for private nursing home
beds in Northern Ireland. BetterCare alleged that the
contract price was set too low because the trust was
abusing its dominant market position in violation of
competition rules.

The Office of Fair Trading rejected BetterCare's claim,
arguing that competition law does not cover health care
commissioning. But a tribunal of the UK's Competition
Commission upheld the company's appeal against this
decision and BetterCare is now free to use competition
law to challenge the contract price for nursing home
beds.

The judgement has important implications, say the
authors. It allows private companies to challenge the
purchasing power of the NHS and local authorities. It
also puts in question policy statements by the
government on user charges in the NHS, and gives
commercial hospitals and foreign investors a mechanism
for challenging the prices paid for secondary and tertiary
inpatient care.

Private healthcare companies are already planning to
exploit this ruling, they warn.

"As the NHS moves inexorably towards the market
place for the provision of care, officials of the
Department of Health need to discuss with trade officials
the extent to which competition policy and trade rules
may be used to undermine the principles of the NHS and
its funding and leave the NHS vulnerable to legal
challenge from international healthcare corporations,"
they conclude.

Contact:

Professor Allyson Pollock, Public Health Policy Unit,
School of Public Policy, University College London, UK
Email: allyson.pollock@ucl.ac.uk


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