Releases Saturday 28 June 2003
No 7404 Volume 326

Please remember to credit the BMJ as source when publicising an
article and to tell your readers that they can read its full text on the
journal's web site (http://bmj.com).

If your story is posted on a website please include a link back to
the source BMJ article (URL's are given under titles).


(1) Concept pill could cut heart disease by more than 80%

(2) What do hospital consultants value most about their
jobs?

(3) Cholesterol test at 50 spots those most at risk of heart
disease



(1) Concept pill could cut heart disease by more than 80%

(A strategy to reduce cardiovascular disease by more
than 80%)
http://bmj.com/cgi/content/full/326/7404/1419

(Quantifying effect of statins on low density lipoprotein
cholesterol, ischaemic heart disease, and stroke:
systematic review and meta-analysis)
http://bmj.com/cgi/content/full/326/7404/1423

(Value of low dose combination treatment with blood
pressure lowering drugs: analysis of 354 randomised
trials)
http://bmj.com/cgi/content/full/326/7404/1427

(Editorial: A cure for cardiovascular disease?)
http://bmj.com/cgi/content/full/326/7404/1407

A single pill could reduce heart attacks and strokes by
more than 80%, conclude researchers in this week's
BMJ. Heart attacks, stroke, and other preventable
cardiovascular diseases currently kill or seriously affect
half the population of Britain.

Professors Nicholas Wald and Malcolm Law propose
that a single pill containing six active components -
aspirin, a cholesterol lowering drug, three blood pressure
lowering drugs at half standard dose, and folic acid -
taken daily by everyone from age 55 would have a huge
impact on the prevention of disease in the Western
world.

Their radical strategy is based on evidence from over
750 trials involving 400,000 participants. Each
component of the "Polypill" would reduce one of four
cardiovascular risk factors (high blood cholesterol, blood
pressure, blood homocysteine levels, and platelet
function).

The pill would be suitable for people aged 55 and older
and many people with existing high blood pressure, heart
disease or diabetes. It need not be expensive and should
be safe with minimal side effects.

Trials of the "Polypill" are planned, to see if the
combination is safe and effective, and may take several
years.

The authors suggest that the pill would be taken without
a medical examination or measurement of risk factors as
treatment would be effective whatever the initial levels of
the risk factors.

It is time to discard the view that risk factors need to be
measured and treated individually if found to be
"abnormal," say the authors. Instead it should be
recognised that in Western society the risk factors are
high in all of us, so everyone is at risk. There is much to
gain and little to lose by the widespread use of these
drugs, they conclude.

So, is this bold conclusion justified? Quite possibly, says
Dr Anthony Rodgers in an accompanying editorial.
Despite widespread perceptions, these medications are
extremely safe and well tolerated ? new problems seem
unlikely since they have been studied so extensively and
used so often together. Realising their enormous potential
should be a major goal.

Professor Wald will be discussing this research at a
press conference at 10:30am, Wolfson Institute of
Preventive Medicine, Barts and The London, Queen
Mary's School of Medicine and Dentistry, Charterhouse
Square, London EC1.

Contacts:

Professor Nicholas Wald, Wolfson Institute of
Preventive Medicine, Barts and the London, Queen
Mary's School of Medicine and Dentistry, University of
London, UK

Dr Anthony Rodgers, Clinical Trials Research Unit, The
University of Auckland, New Zealand
Email: a.rodgers@auckland.ac.nz


(2) What do hospital consultants value most about their
jobs?

(What do hospital consultants value about their jobs? A
discrete choice experiment)
http://bmj.com/cgi/content/full/326/7404/1432

Consultants feel most strongly about on-call conditions,
freedom to do non-NHS work, and developing good
relations with staff, according to a survey of various
aspects of their work in this week's BMJ.

As part of a survey of all career grade doctors in NHS
Scotland about flexible working, 1,650 hospital
consultants completed a discrete choice experiment,
together with questions about their workloads,
contractual status, income and family circumstances. To
quantify their strength of preference for various aspects
of their work, a monetary value for each job
characteristic was calculated. This reflects the income
consultants would be prepared to give up or accept for a
change in the level of another job characteristic.

The most important characteristic was on-call.
Consultants would need to be compensated up to
£18000 (30% of their average net income) for a high
on-call workload, while compensation of up to £9700
(16% of their net income) would be required to forgo
opportunities to undertake non-NHS work.

Consultants would be willing to accept £7000 (12% of
net income) as compensation for fair rather than good
working relationships with staff, and £6500 (11% of net
income) to compensate them for a shortage of staff.

The least important characteristic was hours of work,
with £562 per year (0.9% of net income) needed to
induce consultants to work one extra hour per week,
although the importance changed as the number of hours
increased.

Preferences (and prices) differed depending on
consultants' own circumstances, such as age, sex, age,
family circumstances, speciality, income, and location.

The questionnaire was designed before detailed
proposals for the new consultant contract were
published. However, the results still have important
implications for the remuneration of consultants, and
should be used to help address recruitment and retention
problems, conclude the authors.

Contacts:

Anthony Scott, Reader in Health Economics, Institute of
Applied Health Sciences, University of Aberdeen,
Scotland
Email: a.scott@abdn.ac.uk

Fiona French, Research and Development Officer, NHS
Education for Scotland, Aberdeen, Scotland
Email: fiona.french@nes.scot.nhs.uk


(3) Cholesterol test at 50 spots those most at risk of heart
disease

(Comparison of methods to identify individuals at
increased risk of coronary heart disease from the general
population)
http://bmj.com/cgi/content/full/326/7404/1436

Measuring the cholesterol of everyone aged 50 years
and over is a simple and efficient way of identifying those
at high risk of heart disease in the general population,
suggest researchers in this week's BMJ.

Over 6,000 people aged between 30 and 74 years with
no history of heart attack, stroke, or angina took part in
the study. Four common screening tests were compared
to identify those at a 10 year coronary risk of 15% or
greater - national guidelines, Sheffield tables, age
threshold of 50 years, and risk assessment using fixed
cholesterol values.

Although the Sheffield tables identified almost all
(99.91%) of people at 15% or greater risk, this strategy
required measurement of cholesterol in 73% of the study
population. In contrast, the screening test based on age
required measurement of cholesterol in only 46% of the
population and led to 93% of those at 15% or greater
risk being identified.

The simplicity of this method may also help to increase
the uptake in screening and help to identify people with
other modifiable risk factors (such as high blood
pressure, diabetes, and smoking) and thus lead to an
integrated screening programme for coronary heart
disease, say the authors.

This study contributes to the debate on how limited
resources are targeted to those people who are most
likely to benefit from treatment to reduce their risk of
heart disease, they conclude.

Contact:

Sarah Wilson, Senior Research Fellow, William Harvey
Research Institute, Barts and the London, Queen Mary's
School of Medicine and Dentistry, London, UK
Email: s.l.wilson@qmul.ac.uk


FOR ACCREDITED JOURNALISTS

Embargoed press releases and articles are available from:

Public Affairs Division
BMA House
Tavistock Square
London WC1H 9JR
(contact: pressoffice@bma.org.uk)

and from:

the EurekAlert website, run by the American Association for the
Advancement of Science
(http://www.eurekalert.org)